Week 10 Fantasy Update: Start 'em, Sit 'em

Torn between whether or not you should start your ailing star, or replace him this week with your underrated, ready-to-breakout running back? Well, you've come to the right place.

It's Week 10 already, which means you really only have a couple more weeks of the fantasy regular season. Every match-up counts on your way to your league's championship, and making one wrong move could cost you a victory.

So here is a list of players you should either start this week (if you happen to have them on your roster or can pick them up off waivers) or sit on your bench. Clearly I tried by best at picking guys to start that aren't obvious answers, but there still may be a couple of them on there:

Start

QB

Ben Roethlisberger, PIT vs. KC

Now that there have been injuries depleting the Steeler backfield this season, Roethlisberger has completely taken over the reins of the offense. As one of the more underrated fantasy passers, Ben has put up 20+ on four separate occasions thus far. And he usually fares pretty well against the Chiefs (2-1 record, 6 TDs, 3 INTs) and on Monday night's (8-3 record).

Tony Romo, DAL vs. PHI

Atlanta and Philadelphia's pass defense are ranked No. 11 and 12, respectively. Romo put up great (fantasy) numbers against Atlanta last week and even nearly came up with a victory too. Putting up nearly identical numbers with Atlanta's Matt Ryan made Romo look pretty good last week, meaning there's no doubt Dallas can keep up with Vick and the Eagles this week.

Josh Freeman, TB vs. SD

Likely one of the top QBs on the waiver wire, Freeman got off to a slow start to the season. Through the first four weeks of the season Freeman put up no more than 17 fantasy points in a game (10, 7, 17, 15). But after the Bucs' Week 5 bye, Freeman turned it on and his own % sky-rocketed quickly. Over the last four games he's put up 21 or more each week, including a 33-point and a 37-point performance in back-to-back weeks. I'm expecting between 20-25 points this week, so if your QB has a bye this week, snag Freeman.

RB

Ray Rice, BAL vs. OAK

After watching Tampa Bay's rookie Doug Martin tear up Oakland's defense for 251 yards and 4 TDs last week, it's likely the Ravens will give the Raiders a heavy dosage of Rice early on. He'll get 25+ carries and a couple of TDs for you if you keep him in your lineup.

Adrian Peterson, MIN vs. DET

If you're unsure whether or not AP can keep up his tear against Detroit's run defense (ranked 5th in terms of points allowed to opposing RBs), the answer is yes. Normally I'd be a little more skeptical against a defense that has surrendered just 2 rushing TDs all season. But Peterson is completely healed and is on a roll, scoring 4 TDs in the past three games with 100-yard performances in each. Peterson will put up 140 and 2 TDs against Detroit.

Doug Martin, TB vs. SD

Only one team has rushed for more than 120 yards against the Chargers this season, but if anyone has the hot hand it's "Muscle Hamster." Following his record-setting performance against Oakland, Martin is looking to record his third consecutive 100-yard game and I don't have a doubt he'll accomplish it this week.

WR

Mike Wallace, PIT vs. KC

Wallace has yet to really put up eye-popping numbers this season, as he did in 2011. But with Antonio Brown to miss Monday night's showdown with Kansas City, I'd expect this to be Wallace's game to do so. A little bit of rain isn't going to stop Ben Roethlisberger from throwing the ball.

Vincent Jackson, TB vs. SD

Is playing your old team motivation to play well? Why, yes it is. In Jackson's case anyways. Philip Rivers and his Chargers have struggled at times, and have shown that he misses his big target in Jackson. So what's Jackson going to do? Catch eight passes for 120 yards and a TD against his former team of course.

TE

Antonio Gates, SD vs. TB

He finally appears to be healthy. Combining for just 25 points over the first five weeks of the season before breaking out for 26 in Week 6, Gates' entire season has been filled with disappointment. But he finally appears to be a weekly weapon again after battling a rib injury early on. Tampa Bay allowed 26 points to TEs last week against Oakland, so that's a good sign for Gates too, right?

Sit

QB

Michael Vick, PHI vs. DAL

Vick has cut down on his interceptions lately, at least. But he was eaten alive last Monday against the New Orleans front. He was sacked 7 times and threw yet another pick-6 in the red zone, which of course was returned 99 yards for a NO touchdown. Against Dallas, things wont get much better for Vick, especially if he is given as much time as he was given against the Saints. Lets just say you may be in trouble if Vick is your weekly starting quarterback.

Matt Schaub, HOU vs. CHI

First of all, I hope Schaub isn't your No. 1 QB every week, because he has been underperforming in the fantasy world this season. Second of all, if he is, please place him on your bench. You're likely better off picking a guy such as Carson Palmer or Andy Dalton off waivers for this week than starting Schaub against Chicago's defense. The Bears have held two different QBs to -1 points this season. Enough said.

Jay Cutler, CHI vs. HOU

Clearly the theme of today is "don't start any offensive players from the Sunday night match-up" (you'll find one more if you keep reading). But that's clearly because two of the league's top defenses are going head-to-head, which will likely result in a 14-10 final score. Cutler's been inconsistent (24 pts last week, 4 the week prior) and I don't trust him against Houston's 8th-best defense vs. opposing QBs this season.

RB

Arian Foster, HOU vs. CHI

This is a shocker, I know. I'm even shocking myself by putting Foster on the "sit" list. But going up against Chicago's defense, which happens to be 3rd against opposing RBs this season, I'm worried for him. He's put up at least 14 points each week in ESPN's standard scoring leagues, but the Bears have allowed just one 100-yard team performance (last week vs. TEN) and have held teams under 90 yards in all 7 of the other games this season.

Chris Johnson, TEN vs. MIA

Johnson is coming off a 141 yard, 1 TD performance last week vs. the Bears and has rushed for 90 or more yards in each of the last four weeks. But his inconsistency continues to plague his reputation and his opponent, Miami, has allowed just 16.3 points to RBs this season, good enough for 5th in the league.

Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG vs. CIN

It's been announced that Bradshaw will, in fact, be active today. But as a fantasy owner that doesn't mean you stick him in your lineup right away. Have you seen his numbers lately? A total of 10 points in the last two games (ESPN standard). Even if he finally is healthy again, Andre Brown and David Wilson have been taking carries away from him. The days of Bradshaw being a viable second RB in fantasy lineups appear to be over.

WR

Demaryius Thomas, DEN vs. CAR

Carolina has been one of the best at containing wideouts this season, and are top 10 against the pass. Thomas' teammate Eric Decker will likely get more action as he has caught 7 TDs in his last five games. Carolina has surrendered just 5 receiving touchdowns to wideouts this season and over 200 yards one just one occasion. So, if you have to choose between which Bronco receiver to start (Thomas or Decker), choose Decker not Thomas.

Wes Welker, NE vs. BUF

Welker has fared very well in the team's last three meetings with the Bills (397 yards, 2 TDs), but after rolling his ankle in Week 8 against the Rams, there's reason for concern. With a bye week last week, he appears to have gotten plenty of rest and is ready to go, but I'm not completely sold. Not to mention Brady has plenty of other viable options and it wouldn't be surprising to see Welker get only a few targets.

TE

Owen Daniels, HOU vs. CHI

Daniels hurt his hamstring earlier in the season before injuring his hip last week vs. the Bills. Daniels' production has been there all season, but listed as questionable and expected to be a game-time call, it appears as though it'd be the safe bet to sit him and start a TE off your bench (if you even keep a second tight end on your roster) rather than risking it. Even if he does play he likely wont be as productive as he has been in recent weeks.

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Fantasy Meets Reality

Tennessee Titans running back Chris Johnson had fantasy owners miffed before his breakout game in Week 4

With 4 weeks of the NFL season in the books, fantasy football players have experienced a mixed bag of surprises, disappointments and unpredictable replacement refs. Some players like RB Arian Foster and WR Roddy White have performed as expected. While others like those listed below have turned high fantasy expectations into just plain fantasy.

Chris Johnson

The Tennessee Titans running back finally looked like CJ2K in Week 4 with 141 rushing yards and 16 receiving. Prior to that though, Johnson's performance was woefully inept. Through the first 3 weeks, he had 33 carries for 45 yards and no touchdowns. Though his Week 4 performance gives his fantasy owners hope, many are still wondering which performance is the real CJ.

Marques Colston

The New Orleans Saints wide receiver was another fantasy bust until Week 4, when he posted 153 yards and 1 TD. But it's no wonder that some fantasy owners may have benched him after less than stellar performances in Weeks 1, 2 and 3 -- 71, 49, and 40 yards respectively.

Antonio Gates

The San Diego Chargers tight end missed Week 2 due to injury, but his low fantasy production has his owners hurting too. Weeks 1, 3 and 4 -- 43, 22, and  59 yards respectively. Gates also hasn't posted a touchdown and fantasy owners are anxiously awaiting developments.

Dez Bryant

Another fantasy letdown prior to Week 4, the Dallas Cowboys wide receiver posted 85, 17, and 62 yards in Weeks 1, 2 and 3, respectively. His Week 4 performance of 105 yards and a 2 pt conversion netted some relief for any owner who had enough faith to still have him in their starting lineup.

Greg Jennings

Perhaps it's not surprising that this Green Bay Packers wide receiver has posted low fantasy numbers since quarterback Aaron Rodgers has a multitude of weapons at wideout. Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, James Jones and Donald Driver are all on the reception-by-committee roll, not to mention their new focus on running the ball more with back Cedric Benson. Throw tight end Jermichael Finley in the mix and we may see these types of numbers continue for Jennings. Weeks 1, 3, and 4 -- 34, 35, 9 yds/1 TD, respectively (Jennings was out Week 2 due to injury).

Michael Crabtree

As the #1 depth chart wide receiver for one of the best teams in football, fantasy owners were hoping for more production out of the San Francisco 49ers wideout. Yet through 4 games, his numbers are dismal and he has yet to score a touchdown Weeks 1, 2, 3, and 4 -- 76, 67, 40, and 15 yards, respectively.

Greg Little

Some fantasy gurus touted 2012 to be a breakout season for this Cleveland Browns wide receiver, but through 4 games with just one touchdown and minimum yardage, he has not lived up to that potential. Weeks 1, 2, 3, and 4 -- 0, 57 , 17 and 77 yards, respectively. He's also been battling a case of the "drops" throughout the first 4 games.

Mark Ingram

Another player many thought would have a breakout season, this New Orleans Saints running back has posted one fantasy point in 3 of 4 games. Yes, 1 fantasy point, and with the exception of Week 2 (11 pts), that is the dismal number staring back at you on your fantasy roster if you rolled the dice and started Ingram.*

Steelers Defense

Actually the Steelers rank 5th in overall defense, but in most of the categories that concern fantasy owners, they rank near the bottom. In takeaways like interceptions (1), forced fumbles (1), fumbles recovered (2), and points allowed (25.7), the Steelers have not been the vaunted defense we're accustomed to. Through 3 weeks of action, they have allowed 334, 219, and 321 yards to opposing teams, netting their defense 4, 8 and 2 fantasy points.* (Stats for Games 1, 2, and 3 respectively. Week 4 was a bye week).  Fantasy owners hope the return of James Harrison and Troy Polamalu this week will give the Steelers defense a boost.

A few other fantasy studs from 2011 who had fantasy owners nervous until breakout games in Weeks 3 and/or 4 were Cowboys TE Jason Witten, Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald, Bears WR Brandon Marshall, and the Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles. It's still too early in the season to write off any of the above players, but the next quarter of play should give a clear indication whether they will be a boon or bust for your fantasy rosters.

*fantasy stats based on default scoring in a standard league on www.nfl.com
Photo credit: Antonio Dixon

Fantasy Preview: Top 5 by Position

Nearly midway through the month of August, the first week of preseason will be in the books once the Jets and Texans face-off on ESPN this Monday.

What does this mean, exactly? Well, this is usually about the time that us fans hold our annual Fantasy Football drafts. Here is a look at the top five fantasy players, sorted by position of course.

Quarterback

1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

An off-year for Brady? Nearly 4,000 yards passing and a league-leading 36 touchdown tosses. The 11-year veteran threw just four interceptions a year ago, posting an NFL-high 111.0 QB rating in 16 starts.

The addition of veteran wideout Chad Ochocinco only adds a deep-threat and will continue to allow Brady to open up the vertical passing game for Belichick's Pats. If you're in a keeper league and you had Brady last year, don't hesitate to assign him as a keeper.

2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

Brees threw a career-high 22 interceptions in 2010, but his efficiency did not take a hit as he led the league with a second-straight league-leading completion percentage (68.1).

Despite dual-threat running back Reggie Bush leaving town for Miami this off-season, Brees will have plenty of options to spread the ball to, meaning Brees' disappointing campaign last year, which ended with an early playoff exit, very well may have been just a freak incident.

3. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

Rodgers has a target on his back this year as defending champion, but his offensive production isn't likely to take a hit as a result. With the return of Jermichael Finley, a top 10 TE, and Ryan Grant, a top 20 running back, Rodgers' offense has more options than ever. With two of the game's top receivers (Driver and Jennings) to his disposal, in addition to the underrated Jordy Nelson, I would expect to see Rodgers toss 30 touchdowns for the second time in his professional career.

If he's healthy this season, he has the potential to take over the No. 1 spot as top fantasy quarterback after the year is complete.

4. Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles

Vick's career turnaround was miraculous in several different ways, but I think the biggest surprise of his 2010 season was his sudden spike in passing accuracy and efficiency. Before his jail sentence, Vick never completed more than 56.4 percent of his passes. In his 11 starts last season he completed a career-high 62.6 percent of his 372 attempts.

Both his 3,018 yards and 21 touchdowns were career-highs as well. Vick isn't just a threat to run the ball anymore, he's a threat to pass the ball with great precision. With new weapons in Philly–veteran RB Ronnie Brown and former Giant receiver Steve Smith–Vick will continue to flourish as a passer.

5. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts

Peyton's neck surgery this off-season really worries me, especially considering he has yet to practice for the Colts. It wont be enough to knock him out of the top five in fantasy quarterbacks, but the fact that Indianapolis hasn't done much to help Manning out in terms of adding offensive weapons also worries me.

The return of Pro Bowl tight end Dallas Clark will surely benefit Manning, but past that this appears to be the same old offense in Indy. There must be others out there that are concerned for the 35-year old Manning, right?

Just missed: Tony Romo, Phillip Rivers, Matt Schaub

Running back

1. Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings

I don't think there's any question that AP is still the top dog when it comes to fantasy backs. In fact, I would still call him the No. 1 overall fantasy player. The only guy close to knocking him off the thrown is Tennessee's Chris Johnson, who is two years removed from becoming the sixth player in history to break 2,000 rushing yards.

But Peterson is the definition of a workhorse, breaking 1,200 yards and double-digit touchdown totals in all four of his NFL seasons. His career-low in yards (1,298) was this past season, but he did happen to miss a game. Nearly 6,000 yards and 52 touchdowns over four seasons is more than enough for him to keep his spot atop the rankings.

2. Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans

Johnson continues his training camp holdout, still vying for that big-time contract, which is overdue. He is lined up to make just $800,000 this season and still has two years left on his current contract. With Tennessee holding strong, it looks like this situation could get a little messy.

Johnson has a reputation as one of the most electrifying players in the game and a threat to score every time he touches the ball, whether that's running the ball or catching a pass out of the backfield. The three-time Pro Bowler has averaged 5.0 yards per carry and put up 34 rushing touchdowns in his three seasons. Expect a 1,500-plus yard season with 10-12 touchdowns this year–if he hits the field, of course.

3. Arian Foster, Houston Texans

Foster broke out on to the scene in week one of last season after setting a Houston franchise record 231 yard game, his three rushing touchdowns against the Colts that game was also a team record. The All Pro finished his second year with a league-leading 1,616 yards and 16 touchdowns.

With a top-tier passing attack to complement the team's ground game, I would expect another top five performance out of him in 2011 though he may not top last season in terms of yardage.

4. Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs

In addition to Johnson in Tennessee, Charles is one of the fastest players in the league and is also a well-known overall electrifying player. He ran for 1,467 yards in '10, good enough for second-most in the NFL, with a 6.4 yards per carry average on his 230 attempts.

His five rushing touchdowns are not so impressive, but to his defense veteran running back Thomas Jones took six of those away from him. Once Jones is gone, Charles will get a heavier workload and the touchdown total will likely surpass 10 for the first time in his three-year career. Charles is only just getting started in this league.

5. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars

Lately it has looked like MJD's production has been slowly dropping, and while that may be so (went from 12 and 15 TDs in '08 and '09 to just five last year), I don't think his lack of touchdowns will stay down for long.

The injury and questions surrounding veteran quarterback David Garrard may actually benefit the two-time Pro Bowler. If head coach Jack Del Rio has to rely on rookie Blaine Gabbert, Jones-Drew's use and production–particularly in the red zone–will undoubtably rise this season.

Just missed: Steven Jackson, Rashard Mendenhall, Michael Turner

Wide receiver

1. Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons

The drafting of former Alabama wideout Julio Jones in this year's draft may take some targets away from Matty Ice's favorite receiver, but it has the potential to increase his production at the same time. Before, White received all the attention from defensive backs, but now defensive coordinators will have to pay attention to Jones as well, which may allow White to get open more often.

He already led the league in receptions (115) last year, racking up nearly 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns. Turning 30 in November, White is the most talented wideout in the game and will have yet another productive season with Atlanta in 2011.

2. Andre Johnson, Houston Texans

Johnson has one of the league's best combinations: size, speed and athleticism. He's a freak of nature. Once one of the league's most underrated and under-appreciated wideouts, Johnson now attracts the attention of opposing defenses, and leaves defensive backs shaking in their cleats. With a top 10 quarterback throwing him passes, and a top three running back keeping defenses honest, Johnson is a scoring threat every time a pass is thrown his way.

He has yet to break out of the single digits when it comes to hauling in touchdowns, but I think all that will change this season.

3. Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals

Any rumors that were once surrounding Fitzgerald's unhappiness in Arizona have officially been shattered upon the arrival of quarterback Kevin Kolb. Fitz seems happier than he was when the Cards had borderline Hall of Fame quarterback Kurt Warner under center a couple years back.

Fitz, the five-time Pro Bowler, saw his touchdown total in 2010 drop below double-digts (six) for the first time since the 2006 season due to a lack of consistent quarterback play. Now that he has a true No. 1 quarterback, expect his acrobatic touchdown receptions to return as he will likely be in his 2008 form (96 Rec., 1,431 yards, 12 TDs).

4. Reggie Wayne, Indianapolis Colts

Much like CJ2K (Chris Johnson), Wayne is currently battling the Colts for a new contract. The only difference is that Wayne is a proven vet who opted not to holdout and reported to camp. Wayne was one of two wideouts to rack in over 100 receptions last season (111) as he converted those catches in to nearly 1,400 yards.

His touchdown total took a hit (six), but as long as Indianapolis gets a solid campaign from Hall of Fame quarterback Manning, Wayne's numbers will be top five in the league once again.

5. Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions

Calvin, A.K.A. Megatron caught just 77 balls for 1,120 yards last season, but if Matthew Stafford can stay healthy for the entire season we could see more targets coming Johnson's way–especially in the red zone.

Johnson has an extraordinary combination of size and speed, which makes him very tough to cover. His great hands in traffic allows him to catch passes over the middle and turn them in to big gains. I think this is the year C.J. breaks out for 15 touchdown catches and goes to the Pro Bowl for the second consecutive season.

Just missed: Dwayne Bowe, Mike Wallace, Greg Jennings

Tight end

1. Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys

Witten was 2010's most productive tight end with 94 receptions (most among tight ends, third-most among all receivers) as he topped 1,000 yards for the third time in his career. His career-high nine touchdown catches put the 29-year old on the NFC Pro Bowl roster for the seventh consecutive season (received the honor seven of his eight seasons).

Witten is one tough cookie, catching balls over the middle and barreling over defenders is the norm for the 257-pound end. The return of top 10 quarterback Tony Romo may turn Witten in to a 100-catch player this season.

2. Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers

Gates battled a nagging toe injury throughout most of the 2010 season, missing six games total (most in his eight-year career). As a result, Gates caught just 50 passes, though his production was still up. For the third time in his career, Gates caught 10 touchdowns and averaged 15.6 yards per catch (782 yards).

A healthy Gates is a dangerous weapon, especially when he has a guy of Phillip Rivers caliber throwing him passes. Wideouts Vincent Jackson and Malcom Floyd will return to the team, benefiting Gates' overall production (defenses will not be keying in on just Gates).

3. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers

I don't necessarily agree with San Fran's decision to bring back quarterback Alex Smith, but this will allow Colin Kaepernick to develop in to the quarterback that Jim Harbuagh and the Niners' front office are looking for.

This may not benefit Davis too much in 2011, but it will have an effect on his production in the long run. For now, expect Davis' production to continue at a steady pace. Davis hasn't missed a game in three years, and I would like to believe that this is the year he finally breaks 1,000 yards receiving and could possibly catch 10 touchdowns as well.

4. Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts

Clark is back! After sustaining a wrist injury last October and undergoing season-ending surgery to repair it, Clark will be back in Indy's lineup and as healthy as ever this coming season. Clark racked up 347 yards and three touchdowns in his six 2010 games, putting up a career-low 9.4 yards per catch average.

The only thing that could possibly slow Clark's 2011 production is the questions that continue to swirl around Colts camp involving Manning. We'll see how it all plays out in the South this year.

5. Jermichael Finley, Green Bay Packers

Finley is yet another tight end that sustained an injury in 2010 and missed a majority of the season. Finley was projected for a breakout season last year, but managed just 21 receptions for 301 yards and one touchdown in his five games.

Aaron Rodgers will welcome Finley back in to Green Bay's lineup with open arms this year as everyone expects to finally see a breakout year from Finley in his fourth professional season.

Just missed: Owen Daniels, Chris Cooley, Marcedes Lewis

Kickers

1. Stephen Gostkowski, Pats

2. Robbie Gould, Bears

3. Nate Kaeding, Chargers

4. Mason Crosby, Packers

5. Neil Rackers, Texans

Just missed: Nick Folk, Matt Bryant, Josh Brown

Defense/ST

1. Green Bay Packers

2. New York Jets

3. Philadelphia Eagles

4. Pittsburgh Steelers

5. Baltimore Ravens

Just missed: Patriots, Bears, Giants

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Start 'em, Sit 'em: Week 12 Edition (Game Picks Included)

A majority of fantasy football leagues' regular seasons should be winding down at this point, which means the "new" season, also known as the playoffs, are right around the corner. Keeping up with your team's roster and making the right decisions when it comes to starting, and benching, certain players is very crucial from here on out.

Whether you've already locked up a playoff spot or are fighting for a chance to play in the winner's bracket, these are the guys you want to have in your lineup this week. I added some guys who you may want to stay away from, as well.

Quarterbacks

Start:

Ben Roethlisberger, vs. Buffalo

To me, I think this is rather obvious. Roethlisberger has racked up 275-plus yards and three touchdowns through the air in two consecutive games and has thrown just four interceptions in his six starts this season. Buffalo's defense has allowed 20 touchdown passes this season and has allowed the second-least turnovers with 11 (tied with Denver). Huge mismatch in Pittsburgh's favor.

Brett Favre, vs. Washington

Tough to predict what will happen with Favre at this point, but if you don't have an elite quarterback on your roster then Favre may be your best bet. He has a favorable matchup against the 29th-ranked passing defense in Washington, plus Favre's favorite target from 2009, Sidney Rice, seems to be close to getting back on track. Perhaps tomorrow is his breakout game.

Kyle Orton, vs. St. Louis

Orton has shown he belongs on the top 10 fantasy quarterbacks list this season. With at least one touchdown pass in all 10 of Denver's games, Orton has done everything he can for the Broncos, despite their 3-7 record. He hasn't been a winner in reality, but fantasy and reality can very easily have different outcomes when it comes to the National Football League. Orton has protected the ball well with just six interceptions and two fumbles. A matchup with St. Louis should produce solid numbers for Orton, but that doesn't necessarily mean Denver will come out victorious.

Matt Cassel, vs. Seattle

One of the more underrated quarterbacks, fantasy-wise at least, Cassel has a nice looking matchup Sunday against Seattle's 30th-ranked pass defense. Fighting to stay alive in the AFC West race, the only thing going against Cassel in this game is the fact that the Chiefs are 1-4 on the road and the game will be played in Seattle. Seattle has allowed at least 290 passing yards and a combined 10 touchdown passes in their past four games. Cassel is sure to be licking his chops right now.

Sit:

Eli Manning, vs. Jacksonville

This may surprise everyone, other than Eli's skeptics, considering the younger Manning brother has currently scored the sixth-most fantasy points among NFL quarterbacks (according to my league on ESPN.com). But after throwing three picks in last week's loss and losing leading receiver Hakeem Nicks for at least a couple weeks, I think a hot Jags team--on a season-high three game win streak--will be able to contain Eli and keep him from lighting up the scoreboard.

Matt Ryan/Aaron Rodgers, playing each other

Both are elite quarterbacks, but seeing as they are both signal callers for Super Bowl contenders coming out of the NFC, they each have tough defenses and will need to play safe football. Atlanta and Green Bay are both top six scoring defenses (Green Bay is tied with Chicago for least amount of points allowed with 146) and have intercepted 15 passes this season. Theses two elite quarterbacks may be seeing themselves throwing touchdown passes to the defenders, instead of their own receivers.

Running Backs

Start:

Peyton Hillis, vs. Carolina

Hillis has had a huge breakout season thus far, with three 100-yard games and eight touchdowns for the lowly Cleveland Browns. Facing off against Carolina, at home, is already great news for Hillis. What makes it even more of a no-brainer (starting Hillis, that is) is the fact that Jake Delhomme will be making his return to the lineup after rookie Colt McCoy suffered a high ankle sprain. This likely means Hillis will see more carries/touches come his way in order to take pressure off Delhomme.

Michael Turner, vs. Green Bay

It may look like I'm contradicting myself after listing Matt Ryan under the sit category and saying the game will be dominated by the defenses, but Turner has had some solid games and the ground game will be crucial against a defense that revolves around rushing the quarterback and stopping the pass. The only team Turner didn't fare well against in the past three games was Baltimore's smash-mouth defense led by veteran Ray Lewis. Turner will be the key to Atlanta coming out on top in this NFC showdown.

Ahmad Bradshaw, vs. Jacksonville

Jacksonville will be so focused on stopping Eli Manning that they will likely forget all about Bradshaw, who has done a nice job stepping in for the overrated Brandon Jacobs and has had a solid 2010 campaign. This success will continue as long as he works on that fumbling problem. Bradshaw is one of those bruising tailbacks who is bound to break-free nearly every time he touches the ball.

Mike Tolbert, vs. Indianapolis

With rookie Ryan Mathews still ailing, Tolbert has been forced to step up and recorded his second 100-yard game last week against the Broncos with 111 and a touchdown. Tolbert now has eight rushing touchdowns this season as a fill-in and has a favorable matchup against Indy's 29th-best run defense. Tolbert is a must-start if your backfield has been hit with the injury bug.

Sit:

Maurice Jones-Drew, vs. New York Giants

Jones-Drew has turned his disappointing season around the past few weeks, but an unfavorable matchup with the league's fourth-best run defense on the road in New York doesn't look like good for MJD and his Jags, who currently hold the lead in the AFC South. P.S. Their division lead will be short-lived with Peyton and Co.

Fred Jackson, vs. Pittsburgh

Sorry, Buffalo fans! But your current win streak will end tomorrow, at your house, against the phenomenal run defense of Pittsburgh. As will Jackson's two-game 100 yard-plus streak. But hey, it was great while it lasted, right?

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends

Start:

Mike Wallace, vs. Buffalo

Ben's favorite target will sure to get some looks against a defense that has allowed 20 touchdowns through the air this season. Buffalo has picked off just four of their opponents' pass attempts this season and I wouldn't be surprised if Roethlisberger tried to hook up with Wallace on a couple deep passes throughout the game.

Vernon Davis, vs. Arizona

Listed as probable, Davis seems to be gaining his health back. And after an off-game (1 catch for three yards against Tampa before leaving the game) last week Davis seems poised to break out with a solid performance against Arizona's weak pass defense, who has allowed the second-most points in the league this season.

Sit:

Roddy White, vs. Green Bay

I will most likely end up regretting the decision to put White on the sit list, but it's tough when he has such an unfavorable matchup against a defense like Green Bay's. Expect Matt Ryan to be pressured most of the game, meaning his passes may not be quite as on-target as usual. Therefore hurting White's number of targets.

Randy Moss, vs. Houston

Another big, superstar name on my sit list. But, if you are an active NFL fan then you know Moss's, and the Titans', story this season. Moss has been merely a decoy, leaving other Titan receivers with single coverage. With the injury to Vince Young, the rookie Rusty Smith will make his first career start, furthermore hurting Randy's stock. Maybe it's time for him to hang up his cleats? Just a thought.

Defense and STs/Kickers

Start:

Pittsburgh D/ST

Expect a couple of INTs and sacks of Buffalo's immobile Ryan Fitzpatrick as well as a stout run defense against Jackson. Maybe a touchdown or two as well?? We'll see.

Sebastian Janikowski, vs. Miami

The highest-scoring kicker this season may get quite a bit of opportunities tomorrow with a close game likely headed our way. Oakland has relied quite a bit on Janikowski and he has really pulled through. With Bruce Gradkowski returning to the lineup as the starter, we may see quite a few Sebastian field goal attempts.

Sit:

Chicago D/ST

Ok, yes, I understand that Chicago's defense has been the best there is this season, leading the league in several defensive categories. But they have yet to try and stop Vick, who is making a strong case for league MVP this season. In eight of Philly's 10 games the offense has put up 20 or more points. This very well may be the game of the week.

Tennessee D/ST

Houston knows they will be facing a rookie quarterback in Rusty Smith, so on offense I wouldn't be surprised if the Texans came right at Tennessee early and often, putting more pressure on Rusty Smith and his right arm.

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Game Picks:

Thanksgiving picks: Pats over Lions (correct), Saints over Cowboys (correct, barely), Jets over Bengals (correct).

Sunday November, 28, 2010

Giants over Jags

Steelers over Bills

Vikings over Skins

Browns over Panthers

Falcons over Packers

Texans over Titans

Chiefs over Seahawks

Raiders over Dolphins

Eagles over Bears

Rams over Broncos

Ravens over Bucs

Chargers over Colts

Monday November 29, 2010

Niners over Cardinals

Photo Credit

Kyle Orton: AP Photo/Ed Andrieski

Peyton Hillis: AP Photo/Mark Duncan

Fred Jackson: AP Photo/Ed Behrman

Vernon Davis: AP Photo/Paul Sakuma

Steelers' defense (James Farrior and Ryan Clark): AP Photo/Don Wright

Ben Jarvus Green-Ellis: AP Photo/Rick Osentoski

Week Six Fantasy Update: Start 'em Sit 'em

In the world of fantasy football, October means the heart of the season is well underway. Injuries vastly effect how fantasy owners' seasons unfold and since we're a month in to the season I can assure you that the injuries will continue to hit players hard.

Here's a few players you should start and, of course, those select few you should keep on your bench on this beautiful Sunday afternoon.

Start:

Mark Sanchez QB, NYJ (vs. DEN)

Sanchez has shown major improvement and maturity. With Braylon Edwards shining and the return of Santonio Holmes last week, New York's passing game will continue to thrive with Shonn Greene and Ladainian Tomlinson coming out of the backfield.

Drew Brees QB, NO (vs. TB)

Brees hasn't been quite up to par as compared to last year yet he still has the fourth-most passing yards in the league and has a convincing matchup with the Buccaneers today. It's not likely you would ever bench Brees, unless it's his bye week, but I thought I'd add him to the list just in case.

Ben Roethlisberger QB, PIT (vs. CLE)

Yes, I understand it's his first game since December of last season. But, he's been working out during his suspension, throwing 600-700 passes a week and seems to be in great football shape. Not to mention he's matched up with the hapless Cleveland defense. He may not even have to throw 30 passes today.

Brandon Jackson RB, GB (vs. MIA)

Aaron Rodgers looks to be making the start today, but if I was Mike McCarthy I would make sure I'm cautious with him. I don't expect him to throw the ball quite as often as usual, and giving Jackson (who is coming off a 115 yards performance vs. Washington last week) more carries.

Ryan Torain RB, WAS (vs. IND)

With the Colts giving up the third-most rushing yards in the league, I would expect the Skins to take advantage of that and run the ball more. Since taking over for Clinton Portis, Torain has yet to break 100-yards on the ground, but if he was to break 100, it would certainly be this week against Indy's weak run defense.

Hakeem Nicks WR, NYG (vs. DET)

Nicks has proved to be Eli Manning's go-to guy this season (has caught six of New York's eight receiving touchdowns). With Detroit's defense allowing the seventh-most passing yards in the league at this point, I expect Eli to throw the ball early and often, meaning Nicks will get plenty of balls thrown his way today.

Roddy White WR, ATL (vs. PHI)

White has played fantastic all season with three 100-yard games and three touchdown receptions so far. Philadelphia has allowed eight touchdowns through the air this season and Matt Ryan is poised for a big game in Philly. White is a must-start.

Steelers D/ST (vs. CLE)

This one seems a bit obvious to me. Pittsburgh is currently allowing the least amount of points a game and hasn't allowed a 100-yard rusher in 30+ games. With the combination of rookie Colt McCoy making his first career start, you've got an easy 20 points.

Sit:

Brett Favre QB, MIN (vs. DAL)

Favre is expected to make the start, but that doesn't mean you should start him. Favre's elbow is bound to bother him at least a little, plus DeMarcus Ware and Dallas' defense will hit him with every chance they get. I would expect him to be sacked a couple times and maybe even throw a couple of INTs.

Darren McFadden RB, OAK (vs. SF)

McFadden, like Favre, is likely to play (Favre will start, McFadden will likely just see playing time). But, with Michael Bush in the lineup, McFadden isn't likely to see too much of the field this afternoon as he tries to rest his hamstring. McFadden has played very well all season, but I wouldn't risk too much this week and just keep him on your bench.

Calvin Johnson WR, DET (vs. NYG)

Johnson is active for this afternoon's game, but he obviously isn't 100% and lining Shaun Hill up against New York's defense, Johnson may not even get many chances to show he deserves to be in your team's lineup.

Percy Harvin WR, MIN (vs. DAL)

Harvin had a spectacular 97-yard, two touchdown game last week against the Jets, but don't expect the same result this week with Dallas in town. Like I said above, Favre will be thrown around like a rag doll and Randy Moss may get most of the targets anyways.

Week six is just half an hour away. Enjoy the early slate of games and check back for recap and analysis later on.

Photo Credits

Drew Brees: AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin

Brandon Jackson: AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Roddy White: AP Photo/David Richard

Darren McFadden: AP Photo/Ben Margot

Fantasy Football: Top 10 Keepers For 2010

With August just around the corner, it's time to start preparing your keeper league football team for the season. Picking the right keepers is key to starting your season off right.

Here is a look at the 10 best players to hold on to for this year.

Honorable Mentions

Ray Rice, RB

A revamped Ravens offense will limit Rice's production, meaning he may not get quite as many balls thrown to him, but he will still be the primary back in the team's rushing attack.

DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart, RBs

Williams and Stewart are by far the best running back duo in the game today and possibly in the top 10 or 15 of all time. Both backs could easily break 1,000 yards, plus maybe we'll see double digit TD totals from the two considering they will have an inexperienced quarterback under center.

Reggie Wayne, WR

He's still the primary, go-to guy in Indy, but the return of Anthony Gonzalez could limit his production. Not to mention the fact that breakout receiver Pierre Garcon made a living catching key passes from Manning late last season.

Philip Rivers, QB

Losing Vincent Jackson (and possibly offensive tackle Marcus McNeill) for the beginning of the season will hurt Rivers' stock badly. Probably the primary reason he was left out of my top 10.

Matt Schaub, QB

Houston was the best passing team in the league last season, and if Steve Slaton struggles again this year he could be passing the ball even more often.

Frank Gore, RB

Many guys would say he's a top 10 keeper, but for some reason he doesn't quite impress me as much as he impresses everyone else. I mean, yes, he did have a monster '06 season, but since then he's only been getting as much as 1,100 yards a season and has scored in double-digits only once. I do like his consistency and his ability to come out of the backfield, though.

The List:

10. Michael Turner, RB

Turner ran for only 871 yards last season, but that was because he ran the ball only 178 times in 11 games (4.9 yards per carry). With Turner back and healthy this year, he will hopefully play all 16 games and get the ball much more often. Especially since defenses will be focusing more and more on emerging QB Matt Ryan and the passing attack led by Roddy White.

Also, keep in mind that Atlanta likes to use Turner in the red zone. He scored 10 times on his 178 carries, giving him back-to-back double digit touchdown seasons.

9. Tom Brady, QB

Brady has surely dropped down the list pretty far over the last couple of seasons, which may have been caused by his inconsistent 2009 season in which he had great games but also had disappointing performances. According to ESPN, Brady had four games which he scored less than 10 fantasy points.

The return of Wes Welker early in the season will certainly help Brady out a bit, but he still may not be able to match that of Rodgers, Brees and Manning.

8. Andre Johnson, WR

Johnson is the go-to guy in last season's best passing offense. That, alone, should be enough to put Johnson, a physical, 6'3'' wideout from Miami. Johnson has put up two straight 1,500-plus yard seasons.

In his seven NFL seasons, the four-time Pro Bowler has yet to catch 10 or more touchdown passes in a single season, but this may finally be the year he accomplishes that feat. With Schaub, a top 10 quarterback, passing more than ever, Johnson could put up yet another 1,500 yard season as the Texans make the first playoff appearance in franchise history.

7. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB

Jones-Drew finally broke through for his first 1,000 yard season in 2009, but has been a touchdown machine in all four of his professional seasons.

Jacksonville doesn't exactly have what you would call a potent aerial attack (ranked 19th in passing yards last season), meaning the offense is revolved around MJD. In the red zone is where Jones-Drew has the most success--running for a career-high 15 touchdowns last season and a total of 34 in his previous three seasons.

The 25-year old back has been overlooked by such names as Johnson, Peterson and Jackson, but Jones-Drew is still a top-tier keeper and an automatic first round pick in non-keeper leagues.

6. Aaron Rodgers, QB

Believe it or not, a couple of "experts" have come out and said that Rodgers is the best fantasy quarterback out there. Although I highly disagree that he's the best of the best, he is still a top-five talent and ahead of Brady, Favre, Schaub and Rivers.

In his first two complete seasons as the starter in Green Bay, Rodgers has passed for 8,472 yards, 58 TDs and 20 INTs. Despite being sacked a league-high 50 times last season, Rodgers posted a rating of 103.2 while leading the Pack to an 11-5 record and a playoff spot.

Chances are Rodgers sees more time in the pocket and doesn't get sacked 50 times in 2010, meaning his numbers could see an increase from last season. Scary, I know.

5. Steven Jackson, RB

Much like Maurice Jones-Drew, St. Louis' offense revolves around Jackson. Especially since this year they will likely have rookie Sam Bradford under center.

Jackson only scored four times in 2009, which ties a career-low. But this year, he could easily score double-digit TDs. In 2006, he caught 90 for over 800 yards, plus his 1,500 yards and 13 TDs on the ground. That may have been four years ago, but he has yet to hit the wall and was just plagued by injuries in '07 and '08.

With Jackson looking to be back to full health, we could see a season much like his career-best 2006 campaign.

4. Drew Brees, QB

As scary as this may sound, New Orleans didn't lose anyone from their 2009 offense over the offseason. Brees threw for 4,388 yards and 34 TDs last season for an offense which ranked first in overall offensive yards gained.

Robert Meachem had a breakout season last year--45 receptions, 722 yards, nine TDs after just 12 receptions in his rookie season in '08--while Lance Moore had a bad year. If Brees can get more production from Meachem and a bounce-back year from Moore, Brees could improve on both his yards and touchdowns.

3. Peyton Manning, QB

What can I say about Manning? Everyone knows he is the most consistent quarterback in the game, who basically runs the offense on his own. But, his receivers will be back and healthy this year, meaning plenty more fantasy points from Mr. Fantasy himself.

Expect another 4,500 yards and 30-35 TDs. You know, the usual stat-line for Manning.

2. Adrian Peterson, RB

The definition of an off-year for AP? 1,300-plus yards and a league-high 18 rushing touchdowns.

Peterson's stock has been hurt badly by late season fumbles, which hurt his owners' chances of winning a league championship (this included me, lost by a couple points in the semi-finals). But, the yards and touchdowns will be there and he will have help from rookie Toby Gerhart, which will help keep AP's legs fresh.

If Adrian can work on holding on to the ball during camp, he could take his spot back as No. 1 fantasy player by season's end.

1. Chris Johnson, RB

Becoming just the sixth player in NFL history to rush for 2,000-plus yards in a single-season is what put him atop the fantasy rankings. On 358 carries, Johnson average 5.6 yards per carry and managed to get himself in to the end zone 16 times (14 rushing, two receiving).

Opposing defenses will be out to get Johnson, and defensive coordinators will most likely revolve their game plans around No. 28. That being said, he wont be able to break 2,000 for a second straight season, but because of Tennessee's offense he will certainly produce great numbers.

Other Possible Keepers: Tony Romo, Brett Favre, Larry Fitzgerald, Miles Austin, Donovan McNabb, Randy Moss.

NFL Fantasy Breakdown: Preview Of Top RBs in 2010

Never too early to preview the upcoming fantasy football season.

Coming off a record-breaking season--in just his second season in the league--Tennessee Titans running back Chris Johnson seems to be the premier back in a majority of leagues, taking the reins from former No. 1 fantasy player Adrian Peterson.

Obviously this is a matter of opinion, but in my eyes Johnson's 2,000-yard campaign is enough to gain him the title.

Johnson was well in the running for Rookie of the Year back in 2008 after racking up 1,228 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground.

Before the 2009 season many networks/magazines projected Johnson as a first-round fantasy pick.  His 2,000 yards and 14 TDs may put him over top of AP, who struggled early on (only ran for 100+ yards three times during season) and finished with 1,383 rushing yards.

Peterson still has the TD numbers--led league with 18 in 2009--to keep him in the top two or three picks.  But Peterson has also hurt his stock with fumbles in key moments, which may not sound like it affects him fantasy-wise too much (unless your league loses points for fumbles), but it does take away yards and TDs.
Tennessee and Minnesota's current situations play a big impact in this discussion as well.  Obviously who knows what will happen with Favre in Minnesota, but my gut says he returns.  Favre took carries away from Peterson last year and, if he returns, will take more away from him this year.

As for Johnson, I would expect Jeff Fisher to continue to give the ball to Johnson, keeping the ball out of Vince Young's hands as often as possible.

In his 10 starts last season, the Titans were 7-1 when Young attempted 30 or less passes.  He threw 40+ passes twice, going 1-1 in those two games.  As you can see, Vince Young is more affective when he has less control over the offense.

Johnson, 24, has opened the gates for many other young speedsters and, with his open-field ability, is a huge boost in the passing game as well (10.1 Y/R on 50 receptions).

Luckily for fantasy owners, the RB class past Johnson and Peterson is nothing to shake a stick at.
Just this past season we witnessed 15 runners break 1,000 yards on the ground and 12 runners post double-digit touchdown totals.

One back by the name of Ray Rice had a huge breakout season with the Baltimore Ravens, making plays in both the ground game and pass game.

Rice was the ninth-leading rusher with 1,339 yards (5.3 YCP) while leading all running backs with 78 receptions (ninth-best among all skill players) and 702 receiving yards.  This type of versatility is a major blessing for fantasy owners.

Rice will no doubt be a first round pick in all leagues this season, but may see his receiving numbers take a hit considering Flacco now has new targets in Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth. But on the flip-side, Rice should see his 254 carries go up a little bit.

Best of the Rest:

Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars
Much like Rice, MJD (another little guy) is a huge threat in both offensive aspects, the ground and air.  His play-making ability and toughness has easily gotten him double-digit TD totals in three of his four NFL seasons.  Expect another 1,200-1,400 yard, 15-16 TD season from this guy.

Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams
St. Louis' leading rusher (and leader in receptions), has the ability to put up double-digit TD totals despite his four touchdown performance last year.  With rookie Sam Bradford under center, no doubt Jackson will see the ball enough to break 1,400 yards as long as he's healthy.

Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers
Gore finally broke double-digit TDs last season with 10, and completed his fourth consecutive 1,000 yard season.  With a quarterback controversy continuing to linger in San Fran, Gore will continue to get his carries.  This will also means quite a few red zone touches, possibly bringing in even more TDs for him this season.  Consistency has been the 27-year old's biggest upside

On the Rise:

Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens
If you don't know my reasons by now then you obviously haven't been reading the article very closely...see above.

Cedric Benson, Cincinnati Bengals
He's approaching 30, but Benson's somewhat questionable career took a major turn for the good when he rolled in to Cincinnati in 2008.  Breaking 300 carries for the first time in his career, Benson ran for a career-high 1,251 yards and six TDs last season.  Benson has taken the pressure off the offense, especially since quarterback Carson Palmer hasn't always been 100% healthy.

Look for a second 1,000 yard season and possibly double-digit TD figures this season.

On the Decline:

Thomas Jones, Kansas City Chiefs
Because of this off-season acquisition, Kansas City has one of the top backfield tandems with Jones and Jamaal Charles.  But this doesn't take away the fact that Jones' production will never be quite the same because of his combination of age and downgrade in offensive support, going from New York to Kansas City.  I would expect him to be a solid addition and a third down back but nothing more.

Joseph Addai, Indianapolis Colts
With Donald Brown's presence, I expect Indy to look towards the second-year back a little bit more than his 78 attempts last season.  This just puts more pressure on Addai to perform (3.8 YPC last season), who has really only been a force in the red zone (10 TD runs).

Best Backfield tandems:

Carolina, DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart
Both backs averaged more than 5.0 yards per carry last season (1,100+ rushing yards each), and Stewart put up 10 TDs..Williams totaled seven on the ground.  Possibly by far the best tandem in the league and the only reason why Carolina was somewhat of a contender.

Miami, Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams
 Slick Rick rejuvenated his career with his first 1,000 yard season since 2003.  He stepped up and ran for 1,121 yards and 11 TDs in just seven starts, stepping his game up when Ronnie Brown battled with injury.  Despite missing time, Brown did add in 8 TD runs and played a prominent role in the team's wildcat formation.

Kansas City, Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles
In just his second season, Charles ran for a team-high 1,120 yards and became the only player in league history to rush for 1,100 yards in 200 carries or less (league-high 5.9 YPC in his 10 starts).  Jones' 1,400 yards on the ground with the New York Jets is a huge addition and will give Kansas City a solid third down back.

In the NFL, anything can happen.  So who knows, maybe we will witness another 2,000 yard rushing season.  Or maybe guys like Matt Forte and Steve Slaton will return to their 2008 form.  Time will only tell.
Next Edition: quarterbacks